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Imagine a bank is approached by an Australian developer for financing backed by 200 residual…

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Imagine a bank is approached by an Australian developer for
financing backed by 200 residual stocks (e.g. 200 remaining unsold
units in a completed residential property).

The financing size is 4 years A$ 100mm financing with
1% upfront fee and 5% p.a. interest payable monthly. This a
“payment in kind” loan, which means the borrower can accrue the
unpaid interest/fees (if any) to the outstanding balance;

Total asset value is A$ 200mm (e.g. the LTV is
50%);

Tenor is 2 years;

Waterfall of the sales proceeds would be for interest
servicing then loan amortization;

– Due to COVID-19 and the lock-down, no
sales are projected in the first 6 months. Assume that the
subsequent average monthly sales on the residual stocks is 5
units/month.

Use a model to forecast the bank’s cash flow.
Include scenario testing (base case/ 2 different stress case)
and sensitivity testing.

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